EM
Class
A
B*
B*
A
History
Projections
33%
200
A
A
Quadrillion, Btu
150
100
Oil
Coal
Natural Gas
Renewables
27%
26%
Share of world total
9%
50
C
C
B
A*
B*
B
A
ration
5%
Nuclear
0
1980
Source: EIA
1990
2003
2010
2020
2030
ype
s)
Agency has projected a slight increase
for the year (about 1% at the time of the
workshop but IEA has since revised that
slightly upwards to over 2%). Globally,
demand will increase by 30% by 2025,
but the industrialized world will show
only modest growth while developing
countries will make up the bulk.
One development that is “changing
the marketplace and the refining indus-
try,” is the growth of national oil compa-
nies (NOCs, which are companies con-
trolled by governments) and the tendency
toward resource nationalism (protection
of resources) in many of those countries,
Peters said. NOCs now control and pro-
vide limited access to 77% of the world’s
reserves, he pointed out, and some of
those countries (such as Russia,
Venezuela, Iran and China) are using
energy as a diplomatic tool. But even in
Mexico, that country’s state-owned oil
company Pemex is forbidden by the coun-
try’s constitution to form partnerships
with any companies that own oil
resources in Mexican territory, Peters
pointed out. Meanwhile, the Arabian
states have a goal of developing their own
gulf area into another Gulf of Mexico
with its accompanying refining power.
Unconventional Sources of Oil
9000
Entitlement Production (mboe/day)
8000
7000
2002
Other
6000
2004
5000
FSU
2006
4000
2008
Deepwater
3000
2010
2000
2012
1000
2014
Unconventional heavy oil
2016
0
2020
2022
2028
2030
2018
2024
2026
2000
New source entitlement production (barrels equivalent) for XOM, BP, Shell, Chevron, ConocoPhillips, Total, Eni
Source: PFC Energy Upstream Competition Services
; All Other
; Russia/Caspian
; Deepwater
; LNG
; Unc Heavy Oil
26 | Valve MAGAZINE
Summer 2010 | 41